Major League Soccer

May 11, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Columbus Crew

Baribo (45', 45'), Westfield (64', 64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Arfsten (61', 61'), Zawadzki (90+3', 90+3')
Cheberko (55'), Cheberko (55'), Amundsen (84'), Amundsen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Columbus Crew
44.01% ( 3.36)	24.71% ( -0.32)	31.28% ( -3.03)

Both teams to score 57.34% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.42% (

0.54)

45.59% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09% (

0.51)

67.91% (

-0.5)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

1.8)

20.79% (

-1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.56% (

2.75)

53.44% (

-2.75)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

-1.61)

27.62% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85% (

-2.12)

63.15% (

2.13)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 44.01%

Columbus Crew 31.29%

Draw 24.7%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.71% Total : 44.01%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.35) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.29%