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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Orlando City

Philadelphia
0 - 0
Orlando City


Damiani (65'), Harriel (74'), Sullivan (76'), Vassilev (90+3')
FT

Jansson (35'), Muriel (52'), Gerbet (58'), Dan Thor­halls­son (75'), Gallese (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Orlando City
Sunday, March 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Orlando City

After stumbling into the new campaign, Orlando City appear to have hit their stride and will head into the weekend in search of a third win on the spin. Home advantage gives Philadelphia Union an extra edge here but we predict that Orlando will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Orlando City has a probability of 33.93% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Orlando City win is 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.95%).

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
42.13% (0.744 0.74) 23.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 33.93% (-0.78 -0.78)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.357 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (-0.373 -0.37)41.08% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (-0.381 -0.38)63.47% (0.38 0.38)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (0.173 0.17)19.75% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21% (0.279 0.28)51.78% (-0.281 -0.28)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.611 -0.61)23.84% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (-0.883 -0.88)58.02% (0.88 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 42.13%
    Orlando City 33.93%
    Draw 23.93%
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.089 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 42.13%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 33.93%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
Orlando City
2-4
Philadelphia
Pasalic (8', 79')
Araujo (31')
Baribo (23', 64'), Gazdag (48'), Uhre (51')
Uhre (33'), Lukic (58')
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
Philadelphia
Torres (57'), McGuire (64')
Schlegel (19'), Torres (69'), McGuire (90+5'), Araujo (90+2')
Sullivan (72')
Gazdag (68'), Wagner (74'), Uhre (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-3
Orlando City
Uhre (12'), Gazdag (66' pen.)
Lowe (81')
McGuire (21'), Muriel (42', 46')
Angulo (45+5'), Araujo (87'), Smith (90')
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
2-2
Philadelphia
McGuire (13'), Ojeda (54')
Schlegel (48'), Stajduhar (61'), Enrique (82'), Kara (88')
McGlynn (60'), Andres Martinez (90')
Mbaizo (28'), Flach (38'), Carranza (61'), Wagner (82')
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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