We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Orlando City
After a successful campaign last term, the home side have found the competition much tougher this season.
On the contrary, Orlando City have enjoyed a much better start to the season, and given their recent record against the hosts, we are predicting that the match will end in a 1-1 draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.