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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Spectrum Stadium
DC United

Orlando City
4 - 1
DC United

Muriel (21'), Ojeda (44'), Freeman (50'), Pasalic (56')
Otero (67'), Angulo (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
MacNaughton (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Orlando City
Saturday, March 15 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-0 Montreal
Saturday, March 15 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-2 DC United

Orlando have been strong in attack, but their defensive frailties could prove costly against a resilient DC United side that has mastered the art of avoiding defeat, even when not securing victory, and given the visitors' superior defensive solidity, we believe they have the edge and are likely to come out on top in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for DC United had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawDC United
54.02% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 22.73% (0.031000000000002 0.03) 23.25% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)42.61% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.98% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)65.02% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)15.73% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)44.83% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.031999999999996 0.03)32.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)68.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 54.02%
    DC United 23.25%
    Draw 22.73%
Orlando CityDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 54.02%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 23.25%

How you voted: Orlando City vs DC United

Orlando City
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
DC United
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
5-0
DC United
Ojeda (19'), Jansson (23'), Angulo (42'), Torres (74'), Enrique (85')

Sargis (64')
Bartlett (45+2')
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-3
Orlando City
Benteke (5'), Pirani (66')
Herrera (42'), Lesesne (43'), Hopkins (45+4'), Antley (45'), Dajome (45+2'), Klich (49'), Brekalo (88'), Benteke (88')
Dan Thor­halls­son (28'), Brekalo (82'), McGuire (90+1')
Cartagena (42'), Dan Thor­halls­son (55')
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Jul 31, 2022 10pm
DC United
2-1
Orlando City
Durkin (90+1'), Fountas (90+5')
Djeffal (8')
Urso (9')
Moutinho (69'), Michel (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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