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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Spectrum Stadium
DC United

Orlando City
4 - 1
DC United

Muriel (21'), Ojeda (44'), Freeman (50'), Pasalic (56')
Otero (67'), Angulo (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
MacNaughton (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Orlando City
Saturday, March 15 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-0 Montreal
Saturday, March 15 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-2 DC United

Orlando have been strong in attack, but their defensive frailties could prove costly against a resilient DC United side that has mastered the art of avoiding defeat, even when not securing victory, and given the visitors' superior defensive solidity, we believe they have the edge and are likely to come out on top in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for DC United had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawDC United
54.02% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 22.73% (0.031000000000002 0.03) 23.25% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)42.61% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.98% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)65.02% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)15.73% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)44.83% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.031999999999996 0.03)32.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)68.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 54.02%
    DC United 23.25%
    Draw 22.73%
Orlando CityDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 54.02%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 23.25%

How you voted: Orlando City vs DC United

Orlando City
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
DC United
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
5-0
DC United
Ojeda (19'), Jansson (23'), Angulo (42'), Torres (74'), Enrique (85')

Sargis (64')
Bartlett (45+2')
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-3
Orlando City
Benteke (5'), Pirani (66')
Herrera (42'), Lesesne (43'), Hopkins (45+4'), Antley (45'), Dajome (45+2'), Klich (49'), Brekalo (88'), Benteke (88')
Dan Thor­halls­son (28'), Brekalo (82'), McGuire (90+1')
Cartagena (42'), Dan Thor­halls­son (55')
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Jul 31, 2022 10pm
DC United
2-1
Orlando City
Durkin (90+1'), Fountas (90+5')
Djeffal (8')
Urso (9')
Moutinho (69'), Michel (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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