

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Toronto | 
| 57.45% (  -0.58) | 22.67% (  0.13) | 19.88% (  0.45) | 
| Both teams to score 52.58% (  0.32) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.52% (  0.06) | 46.48% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.24% (  0.05) | 68.76% (  -0.05) | 
| Orlando City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.08% (  -0.17) | 15.92% (  0.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.83% (  -0.32) | 45.17% (  0.32) | 
| Toronto Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.53% (  0.51) | 37.47% (  -0.51) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.75% (  0.5) | 74.25% (  -0.5) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Orlando City | Draw | Toronto | 
| 1-0 @ 10.96% (  -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.07% (  -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.89% (  -0) 3-0 @ 6.17% (  -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.06% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.97% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 2.83% (  -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.78% (  -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% (  0) 5-0 @ 1.04% (  -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.02% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.45% | 1-1 @ 10.76% (  0.06) 0-0 @ 5.96% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% (  0.06) 3-3 @ 0.97% (  0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.86% (  0.07) 1-2 @ 5.28% (  0.1) 0-2 @ 2.87% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 1.73% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 1.59% (  0.04) 0-3 @ 0.94% (  0.04) Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.88% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 | 
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 | 
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 | 
| 4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 | 
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 | 
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 | 
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 | 
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 | 
| 9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 
| 12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 | 
| 13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 | 
| 14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 | 
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 | 
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 | 
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 | 
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 | 
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 
| 8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 | 
| 10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 | 
| 11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 | 
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 | 
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 | 
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
