Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | Toronto |
57.45% (![]() | 22.67% (![]() | 19.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.52% (![]() | 46.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.24% (![]() | 68.76% (![]() |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.08% (![]() | 15.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.83% (![]() | 45.17% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.53% (![]() | 37.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.75% (![]() | 74.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | Toronto |
1-0 @ 10.96% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.07% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.45% | 1-1 @ 10.76% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.86% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 |
8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 |
10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |