Qatar national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Gameweek 9 | 2nd Leg
Jun 5, 2025 at 7.15pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Iran national football team

Qatar
1 - 0
Iran

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 3-1 Qatar
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iran

All competitions
Last Game: Iran 2-2 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, March 25 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Qatar has a probability of 27.61% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Qatar win is 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.6%).

Result
QatarDrawIran
27.61% (-1.172 -1.17)24.56% (0.38 0.38)47.82% (0.789 0.79)
Both teams to score 55.53% (-2.143 -2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07% (-2.429 -2.43)46.93% (2.428 2.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82% (-2.31 -2.31)69.18% (2.309 2.31)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-2.102 -2.1)30.86% (2.101 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (-2.544 -2.54)67.14% (2.543 2.54)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (-0.64 -0.64)19.69% (0.638 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.31% (-1.049 -1.05)51.69% (1.048 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 27.61%
    Iran 47.82%
    Draw 24.55%
QatarDrawIran
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.316 0.32)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 27.61%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.597 0.6)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.79 0.79)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.492 0.49)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.08% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.77% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 47.82%

How you voted: Qatar vs Iran

Qatar
61.5%
Draw
7.7%
Iran
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2024 5pm
Third Round
Iran
4-1
Qatar
Azmoun (42', 48'), Mohebi (65', 98')
Azmoun (47'), Mohebi (51'), Ghayedi (53')
Ali (17')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2024 3pm
Semi-Finals
Iran
2-3
Qatar
Azmoun (4'), Jahanbakhsh (51' pen.)
Torabi (18'), Hajsafi (21')
Khalilzadeh (90+3')
Gaber (17'), Afif (43'), Ali (82')
Ali Mukhtar (40'), Fathy (49'), Marquez (90')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2023 7pm
Friendlies 1
Qatar
0-4
Iran

Fathy (18'), Ali (84')
Kanani (69', 79'), Jahanbakhsh (73'), Azmoun (75')
Beiranvand (26'), Ezatolahi (59')
Dec 31, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Qatar
1-2
Iran
Al Haidos (43' pen.)
Ro-Ro (54')
Taremi (17'), Azmoun (46')
rhs 2.0
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