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World Cup
Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
United Arab Emirates national football team

Iran
vs.
UAE

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
Last Game: North Korea 2-3 Iran
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Iran vs. Uzbekistan
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: UAE 1-1 Oman
Friday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Next Game: North Korea vs. UAE
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iran 2-1 United Arab Emirates

 Iran have not lost any of their games in Group A, and they will be feeling motivated to keep ahead of Uzbekistan in midweek. Expect Team Melli to take all three points in this match, but given their recent defensive displays, UAE are likely to be on the scoresheet and make it a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
IranDrawUnited Arab Emirates
63.68% (0.883 0.88) 21.29% (-0.388 -0.39) 15.03% (-0.497 -0.5)
Both teams to score 47.39% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (0.675 0.67)48.5% (-0.675 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (0.613 0.61)70.63% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (0.501 0.5)14.57% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.37% (0.959 0.96)42.63% (-0.96 -0.96)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.47% (-0.277 -0.28)44.53% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.44% (-0.222 -0.22)80.56% (0.22200000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Iran 63.67%
    United Arab Emirates 15.03%
    Draw 21.29%
IranDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 12.49% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 12.03% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.73% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.158 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 63.67%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.29%
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.12% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 15.03%

How you voted: Iran vs UAE

Iran
91.3%
Draw
6.5%
United Arab Emirates
2.2%
46
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