Uzbekistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Milliy Stadion
Iran national football team

Uzbekistan
vs.
Iran


Sayfiyev (19'), Khamrobekov (30'), Ashurmatov (90+7')
FT

Hardani (57'), Ghoddos (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Uzbekistan and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 2-3 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Uzbekistan vs. UAE
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: UAE 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Iran vs. Qatar
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
UzbekistanDrawIran
33.32% (2.644 2.64)28.82% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)37.86% (-2.554 -2.55)
Both teams to score 45.21% (0.912 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.66% (0.806 0.81)61.33% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.75% (0.596 0.6)81.24% (-0.59899999999999 -0.6)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (2.358 2.36)34.23% (-2.361 -2.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (2.45 2.45)70.92% (-2.452 -2.45)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (-1.121 -1.12)31.26% (1.12 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (-1.325 -1.33)67.61% (1.322 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 33.32%
    Iran 37.86%
    Draw 28.8%
UzbekistanDrawIran
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.466 0.47)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.575 0.58)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.315 0.32)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.329 0.33)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.69% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 12.44% (-0.78 -0.78)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.697 -0.7)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 37.86%

How you voted: Uzbekistan vs Iran

Uzbekistan
22.5%
Draw
18.8%
Iran
58.8%
80
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2024 6pm
Second Round
Iran
0-0
Uzbekistan
Hardani (90')
Khusanov (17')
Nov 21, 2023 1pm
Second Round
Uzbekistan
2-2
Iran
Urunov (52'), Sergeev (83')
Aliqulov (3'), Katanec (4'), Sayfiyev (76')
Rezaeian (14'), Taremi (38')
Kanani (48'), Karimi (80')
Oct 8, 2020 2pm
Friendlies 1
Uzbekistan
1-2
Iran
Shomurodov (53')
Tukhtakhujaev (77')
Azmoun (44'), Taremi (51' pen.)
(86')
Sep 11, 2018 4pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
0-1
Iran

Sayfiyev (43')
Torabi (67')
Mohammadi (93')
May 19, 2018 5.15pm
International Friendlies
Iran
1-0
Uzbekistan
Cheshmi (17')
Hosseini (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!