Kyrgyzstan

2 - 3

Uzbekistan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.