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World Cup

United Arab Emirates national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Al-Nahyan Stadium
Iran national football team

UAE
0 - 1
Iran

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ghaedi (45+3')
Jahanbakhsh (35'), Ghoddos (48'), Kanani (90+6'), Mohammadi (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 UAE
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iran

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawIran
30.27% (-5.018 -5.02)25.44% (-0.858 -0.86)44.29% (5.875 5.88)
Both teams to score 54.38% (1.227 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (2.292 2.29)49.22% (-2.295 -2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (2.032 2.03)71.28% (-2.032 -2.03)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (-2.122 -2.12)30.12% (2.123 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (-2.626 -2.63)66.26% (2.625 2.63)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (3.997 4)22.19% (-3.999 -4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (5.68 5.68)55.59% (-5.683 -5.68)
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 30.27%
    Iran 44.29%
    Draw 25.43%
United Arab EmiratesDrawIran
1-0 @ 8.02% (-1.314 -1.31)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.716 -0.72)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-1.13 -1.13)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.481 -0.48)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.597 -0.6)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.27%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.649 -0.65)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.712 0.71)
0-2 @ 7.57% (0.993 0.99)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.82 0.82)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.863 0.86)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.355 0.36)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.463 0.46)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.446 0.45)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.29%

How you voted: UAE vs Iran

United Arab Emirates
22.2%
Draw
13.3%
Iran
64.4%
45
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 3pm
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Iran
2-1
UAE
Taremi (26', 65')
Moharrami (41'), Kanani (62')
Alghassani (90+3')
Alzaabi (54'), Ibrahim (72')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2022 2.30pm
Third Round
Iran
1-0
UAE
Taremi (44')
Ezatolahi (23'), Moharrami (38'), Jahanbakhsh (84')
Moharrami (49')

Alzaabi (84'), Ramadan (90+2')
> Preview
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Iran

Al Ahbabi (21'), Abdulrahman (74'), Saleh (87')
Taremi (70')
Noorafkan (43')
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