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World Cup

Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Uzbekistan national football team

Iran
vs.
Uzbekistan

Taremi (52', 83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Erkinov (16'), Fayzullaev (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
Last Game: Iran 2-0 UAE
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Qatar vs. Iran
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Uzbekistan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: UAE vs. Uzbekistan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 47.97%. A draw has a probability of 26.2% and a win for Uzbekistan has a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Uzbekistan win it is 0-1 (8.37%).

Result
IranDrawUzbekistan
47.97% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)26.15% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)25.88% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.2% (0.388 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.453 0.45)54.55% (-0.45 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.375 0.38)75.9% (-0.374 -0.37)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.18100000000001 0.18)22.76% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (0.267 0.27)56.44% (-0.265 -0.27)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69% (0.354 0.35)36.31% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9% (0.357 0.36)73.1% (-0.355 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Iran 47.97%
    Uzbekistan 25.88%
    Draw 26.15%
IranDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 12.23% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 47.97%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 25.88%

How you voted: Iran vs Uzbekistan

Iran
61.9%
Draw
21.4%
Uzbekistan
16.7%
42
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 3pm
Third Round
Uzbekistan
0-0
Iran
Sayfiyev (19'), Khamrobekov (30'), Ashurmatov (90+7')
Hardani (57'), Ghoddos (66')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2024 6pm
Second Round
Iran
0-0
Uzbekistan
Hardani (90')
Khusanov (17')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2023 1pm
Second Round
Uzbekistan
2-2
Iran
Urunov (52'), Sergeev (83')
Aliqulov (3'), Katanec (4'), Sayfiyev (76')
Rezaeian (14'), Taremi (38')
Kanani (48'), Karimi (80')
Oct 8, 2020 2pm
Friendlies 1
Uzbekistan
1-2
Iran
Shomurodov (53')
Tukhtakhujaev (77')
Azmoun (44'), Taremi (51' pen.)
(86')
Sep 11, 2018 4pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
0-1
Iran

Sayfiyev (43')
Torabi (67')
Mohammadi (93')
rhs 2.0
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