MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 06:55:33| >> :120:53445:53445:
Qatar national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 6.15pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
North Korea national football team

Qatar
vs.
North Korea

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and North Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Kuwait 1-1 Qatar
Friday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. Qatar
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jordan 1-1 North Korea
Friday, March 14 at 6.15pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: North Korea vs. UAE
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Qatar 2-0 North Korea

With Qatar conceding five times last time out, North Korea will back themselves to upset the odds in Doha. However, we feel that the home side's greater attacking talents may come to the fore to earn them a crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
QatarDrawNorth Korea
52.56% (-0.4 -0.4) 24.07% (0.246 0.25) 23.36% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.601 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (-0.884 -0.88)48.36% (0.884 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49% (-0.813 -0.81)70.51% (0.81400000000001 0.81)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.486 -0.49)18.36% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.827 -0.83)49.48% (0.827 0.83)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.349 -0.35)35.13% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (-0.366 -0.37)71.88% (0.367 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 52.56%
    North Korea 23.36%
    Draw 24.07%
QatarDrawNorth Korea
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.27% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.181 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 23.36%

How you voted: Qatar vs North Korea

Qatar
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
North Korea
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 1pm
Third Round
North Korea
2-2
Qatar
Ri (19'), Kang II (52')
Hyok Kim (34'), Kang (82'), Ri (90+5')
Kuk-Chol (28')
Afif (31' pen.), Ali (44')
Salman (22'), Ali (36')
rhs 2.0
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