Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.