MX23RW : Sunday, May 18 04:22:36| >> :120:8987:8987:
New York City
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
Nov 23, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Citi Field
New York Red Bulls

NY City
0 - 2
NY Red Bulls


Sands (34'), O'Toole (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carballo (16'), Vanzeir (25')
Edelman (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls

Saturday will mark 20 days since the Red Bulls last played a league game, and we believe such a lengthy layoff will impact them on the field against an NYCFC side that have looked incredibly sharp and cohesive at Citi Field. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.91% (-0.474 -0.47) 22.25% (0.232 0.23) 24.84% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 60.85% (-0.554 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-0.851 -0.85)38.71% (0.851 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (-0.904 -0.9)61.02% (0.904 0.9)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (-0.452 -0.45)14.73% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.05% (-0.869 -0.87)42.94% (0.86799999999999 0.87)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.271 -0.27)28.64% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.339 -0.34)64.45% (0.33999999999999 0.34)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 52.91%
    New York Red Bulls 24.84%
    Draw 22.24%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.91%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.168 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 24.84%

How you voted: NY City vs NY Red Bulls

New York City FC
76.0%
Draw
8.0%
New York Red Bulls
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-5
NY City
Vanzeir (28')
Reyes (14'), Schwarz (15'), Stroud (90+5')
Moralez (5'), Martinez (7', 45+5'), Perea (30'), Gray (67')
May 19, 2024 12.30am
NY City
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Wolf (3'), Bakrar (64')
Sands (32')
Harper (45+1')
Harper (25'), Amaya (66'), Nealis (67'), Tolkin (90'), Schwarz (90+2')
Nealis (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
0-0
NY Red Bulls
Pellegrini (42'), Morales (63'), Sands (90+3')
Barlow (48'), Ndam (69'), Harper (90+7'), Tolkin (90+7')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal361814466333368
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle362061068452366
4Chelsea37199963432066
5Aston Villa3719995849966
6Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest361881056441262
8Brentford361671363531055
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Bournemouth3614111155431253
11Fulham36149135150151
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton36915123944-542
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham361010164259-1740
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RIpswich TownIpswich36410223577-4222
RLeicester CityLeicester3657243178-4722
RSouthampton3626282582-5712


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