Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Gremio

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Gremio

Arboleda (49', 49'), Silva (85' pen., 85' pen.)
Maia (30'), Maia (30'), (45+7'), Luciano (45+7'), (45+7'), Luciano (45+7'), Oscar (86'), Oscar (86'), Pires (90+8'), Pires (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aravena (37', 37')
Villasanti (4'), Villasanti (4'), Jemerson (64'), Jemerson (64'), Moreira (65'), Moreira (65'), Volpi (79'), Volpi (79')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Libertad
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, May 13 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawGremio
43.04% (0.2 0.2)27.21% (-0.087 -0.09)29.75% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.65% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.5% (0.267 0.27)56.49% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (0.214 0.21)77.49% (-0.221 -0.22)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.22499999999999 0.22)26% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.306 0.31)61.02% (-0.314 -0.31)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74% (0.049000000000007 0.05)34.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04% (0.053000000000001 0.05)70.96% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 43.03%
    Gremio 29.75%
    Draw 27.21%
Sao PauloDrawGremio
1-0 @ 11.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.91% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 9.54% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.75%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 36
Gremio
2-1
Sao Paulo
Cristaldo (36'), Ruan (45+2' og.)
Pavon (90+5')
Gustavo (64')
Rato (72')
Jul 18, 2024 12am
Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
1-0
Gremio
Moura (10')
Vinicius (38'), Moura (41'), Zubeldia (42'), Pires (78'), Ribeiro (90+1'), Welington (90+13')
Vinicius (90+9')

Pepe (23'), Villasanti (31'), Pires (80')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sao Paulo
3-0
Gremio
Araujo (21'), Maia (68'), Luciano (90+7')
Maia (43')

Kannemann (21'), Josue (69'), Suarez (89')
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Gremio
2-1
Sao Paulo
Cristaldo (31' pen.), Reinaldo (39')
Reinaldo (82'), Mila (88')
Calleri (15')
Franco (29')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 35
Gremio
3-0
Sao Paulo
Thiago (23'), Barbosa (68'), Robert (90+4')
Costa (74'), Grando (85'), Borja (90+3')

Rigoni (60'), Miranda (90+1')
> Preview