Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 40.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 29.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.