Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
Apr 26, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Sao Paulo

Ceara
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Henrique (4')
Estefani Machado (46'), Henrique (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva (44')
Diaz (31'), Vinicius (67'), Antonio (76'), Soares (84'), Bobadilla (88')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Ceara
Tuesday, April 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Libertad 0-2 Sao Paulo
Thursday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 40.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 29.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
CearaDrawSao Paulo
40.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)29.91% (0.012999999999998 0.01)29.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 41.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.32% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)65.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.64% (-0.023 -0.02)84.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)31.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)68.01% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 40.96%
    Sao Paulo 29.13%
    Draw 29.91%
CearaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 14.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.96%
1-1 @ 13.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.91%
0-1 @ 11.59% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 29.13%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Ceara
0-2
Sao Paulo
Calleri (23'), Bustos (90+2')
Aug 10, 2022 11.15pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Ceara
2-1
Sao Paulo
(Aggregate 2-2 | Sao Paulo win 4-3 on penalties)
Mendoza (44'), Castilho (63')
Richardson (23'), Luis (77'), Vinicius (87')
Vinicius (54')
Galoppo (17'), Vinicius (26'), Miranda (86'), Calleri (90+1')
Aug 3, 2022 11.15pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Sao Paulo
1-0
Ceara
Nikao (70')
Welington (42'), Maia (90+5')

Paraiba (14'), Luis (81')
May 28, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 8
Sao Paulo
2-2
Ceara
Calleri (8'), Nestor (42')
Anderson (34'), Rafinha (64'), Gomes (66')
Gomes (90')
Cleber (37'), Mendoza (71')
Ribeiro (16'), Richardson (20'), Junior (44'), Mendoza (66')
Oct 14, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 26
Sao Paulo
1-1
Ceara
Calleri (52')
Miranda (38'), Manuel Orejuela (48'), Calleri (61')
Fabinho (23')
Fabinho (36'), Richard (45+3'), Oliveira (86')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo117312442024
2Cruzeiro11722178923
3BragantinoBragantino11722148623
4PalmeirasPalmeiras11713128422
5Fluminense116231512320
6Botafogo11533147718
7Bahia115331111018
8Mirassol114521712517
9Atletico Mineiro114521110117
10CearaCeara114341311215
11Corinthians114341214-215
12Gremio114341114-315
13Sao Paulo11263911-212
14InternacionalInternacional112541216-411
15Vasco da GamaVasco113171115-410
16Vitoria112451014-410
17FortalezaFortaleza112451015-510
18SantosSantos11227812-48
19JuventudeJuventude11227824-168
20Sport RecifeSport11038518-133


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