
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz

Libertad0 - 2Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Santos
Sunday, April 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
5
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 41.1%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 1-0 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result | ||
Club Libertad | Draw | Sao Paulo |
28.91% (![]() | 29.99% (![]() | 41.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.05% (![]() | 65.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.45% (![]() | 84.55% (![]() |
Club Libertad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.89% (![]() | 40.11% (![]() |