Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 27, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vasco3 - 0Melgar
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Vasco da Gama and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Vasco
Saturday, May 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 0-1 Melgar
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Melgar |
47.86% ( -0) | 24.66% ( 0) | 27.48% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
