Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2025 at 11pm UK
Complejo Deportivo Socialista
Puerto Cabello4 - 1Vasco
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melgar 1-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, April 23 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 23 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
6
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 27.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
27.29% ( -0.08) | 27.59% ( -0.03) | 45.12% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
