Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 28, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente7 - 0Nacional
Gabriel Montiel (26', 53'), Tarzia (34'), Loyola (51'), Lautaro Millan (77'), Echeverria (81' og.), Galdames (84')
Lautaro Millan (78')
Lautaro Millan (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baldomar (69'), Alberto Preciado Torres (83')
Alberto Preciado Torres (87')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Nacional Potosi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Huracan (5-6 pen.)
Saturday, May 24 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, May 24 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Boston River
Tuesday, May 13 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, May 13 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 8.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
75.37% ( -0.16) | 15.86% ( 0.08) | 8.78% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.05% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
