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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 6, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio de la Asociacion de Futbol de Potosi

Nacional
vs.
Guarani

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Nacional Potosi and Guarani.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional Potosi

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Last Game: Boston River 2-1 Nacional
Tuesday, April 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Guarani

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Last Game: Guarani 2-1 Independiente
Tuesday, April 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw has a probability of 24.4% and a win for Guarani has a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Guarani win it is 0-1 (6.96%).

Result
Nacional PotosiDrawGuarani
56.07% (-0.298 -0.3) 24.41% (0.296 0.3) 19.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.8% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (-1.118 -1.12)53.9% (1.12 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-0.948 -0.95)75.35% (0.95 0.95)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (-0.53699999999999 -0.54)19.12% (0.538 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25% (-0.898 -0.9)50.75% (0.899 0.9)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (-0.645 -0.65)42.14% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (-0.563 -0.56)78.56% (0.56399999999999 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Nacional Potosi 56.06%
    Guarani 19.52%
    Draw 24.4%
Nacional PotosiDrawGuarani
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 11.02% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 56.06%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.181 0.18)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.52%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Guarani
2-0
Nacional
Fernandez (11'), Patino (45+5')
Maiz (81')

Torrico Franco (54'), Azogue (58'), Fernando Pavia Mamani (88'), Hoyos (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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