MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 01:29:18| >> :120:3622:3622:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 6, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Victor Agustin Ugarte

Nacional
2 - 2
Guarani

Hoyos (37'), Gaspar Diellos (61')
Azogue (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandez (63', 88' pen.)
Daniel Perez Centurion (45+1'), Javier Benitez Cabrera (57')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Nacional Potosi and Guarani.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Boston River 2-1 Nacional
Tuesday, April 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Guarani 2-1 Independiente
Tuesday, April 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Nacional PotosiDrawGuarani
53.59% (0.387 0.39) 24.13% (-0.556 -0.56) 22.27% (0.17 0.17)
Both teams to score 51.44% (1.881 1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28% (2.384 2.38)49.72% (-2.383 -2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (2.097 2.1)71.73% (-2.094 -2.09)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (1.063 1.06)18.48% (-1.062 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31% (1.762 1.76)49.68% (-1.76 -1.76)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (1.505 1.51)36.9% (-1.504 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (1.468 1.47)73.69% (-1.466 -1.47)
Score Analysis
    Nacional Potosi 53.59%
    Guarani 22.27%
    Draw 24.12%
Nacional PotosiDrawGuarani
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.74 -0.74)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.246 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.226 0.23)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.177 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.59%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.686 -0.69)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.25 0.25)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.384 -0.38)
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.27%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Guarani
2-0
Nacional
Fernandez (11'), Patino (45+5')
Maiz (81')

Torrico Franco (54'), Azogue (58'), Fernando Pavia Mamani (88'), Hoyos (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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