Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | 3rd Round | 1st Leg
May 29, 2025 at 7pm UK
BUKO Stadion

Telstar2 - 2Willem II
Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs 3rd Round clash between Telstar and Willem II.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Telstar 2-1 Den Bosch
Friday, May 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Friday, May 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Goals
for
for
69
Last Game: Willem II 3-2 Dordrecht (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Goals
for
for
34
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Telstar | Draw | Willem II |
52.35% (![]() | 23.7% (![]() | 23.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.8% (![]() | 46.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.51% (![]() | 68.49% (![]() |
Telstar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.37% | 17.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.77% (![]() | 48.23% (![]() |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.57% (![]() | 33.42% (![]() |