MX23RW : Friday, May 30 03:20:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 3, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Willem II

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Willem II

Shiogai (83')
Sano (37'), Ouaissa (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Verdonk (1' og.)
Nizet (84'), Lachkar (90+3')
Behounek (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Willem II
Sunday, April 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 Willem II

While NEC have experienced a major drop-off compared to the dizzying heights they reached last season, they have been a difficult team to beat at home, losing only one of their last seven games at Goffertstadion. Willem II, on the other hand, have been in freefall since the start of the year, winless in their last 13 games, and we feel they will struggle to take anything from this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawWillem II
61.89% (0.046000000000006 0.05) 20.07% (0.143 0.14) 18.03% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.911 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.43% (-1.01 -1.01)37.56% (1.006 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.2% (-1.09 -1.09)59.79% (1.087 1.09)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.32% (-0.292 -0.29)11.68% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.24% (-0.628 -0.63)36.75% (0.625 0.63)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (-0.813 -0.81)34.19% (0.81 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.11% (-0.883 -0.88)70.89% (0.879 0.88)
Score Analysis
    NEC 61.89%
    Willem II 18.03%
    Draw 20.07%
NECDrawWillem II
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.234 0.23)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.315 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-0 @ 3.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 61.89%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.07%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.29% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 18.03%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Willem II

NEC
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Willem II
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 17
Willem II
4-1
Nijmegen
Marquez (20' og.), Bokila (33'), Meerveld (63'), Boris (86')
Ogawa (24')
Marquez (58'), Ogawa (61')
Dec 22, 2021 5.45pm
Sep 12, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
0-0
Willem II
Tavsan (71')
Jenssen (59'), Llonch (64')
Brondeel (15')
Jan 15, 2017 3.45pm
Willem II
0-1
Nijmegen
Grot (76')
von Haacke (59'), Fomitschow (79')
Sep 25, 2016 11.30am
Nijmegen
0-0
Willem II
Fomitschow (31')
van Anholt (37'), Ojo (49'), Croux (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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