

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Willem II |
| 61.89% ( | 20.07% ( | 18.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.43% ( | 37.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.2% ( | 59.79% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.32% ( | 11.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.24% ( | 36.75% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% ( | 34.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.11% ( | 70.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 5-0 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 4.24% Total : 61.89% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.07% | 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
