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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Willem II |
61.89% (![]() | 20.07% (![]() | 18.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.43% (![]() | 37.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.2% (![]() | 59.79% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.32% (![]() | 11.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.24% (![]() | 36.75% (![]() |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.8% (![]() | 34.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% (![]() | 70.89% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Willem II |
2-1 @ 9.88% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 4.24% Total : 61.89% | 1-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.07% | 1-2 @ 4.94% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |