MX23RW : Monday, April 28 17:25:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Willem II

Sittard
1 - 0
Willem II

Bullaude (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-2 Feyenoord
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, April 13 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Fortuna Sittard 2-1 Willem II

Fortuna Sittard seem to be limping towards the end of the season after showing plenty of promise, while Willem II showed positive signs in their eventual defeat to Ajax, but we still back the hosts to get past a visiting side who are winless in 12 games and have shown their inability to get over the line in tight games in recent months. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortuna Sittard.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawWillem II
51.44% (0.090000000000003 0.09) 24.07% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 24.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.25% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-0.131 -0.13)47.27% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.121 -0.12)69.49% (0.123 0.12)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)18.38% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)49.51% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (-0.154 -0.15)33.54% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (-0.167 -0.17)70.18% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 51.44%
    Willem II 24.49%
    Draw 24.06%
Fortuna SittardDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.49%

How you voted: Sittard vs Willem II

Fortuna Sittard
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Willem II
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 9
Willem II
0-0
Sittard
Didillon (37')
Guth (29')
Mar 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 23
Sittard
1-0
Willem II
Flemming (52')
Tirpan (49'), Seuntjens (66'), Cox (86'), Angha (90+1'), Siovas (90+5')

Crowley (20')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Willem II
1-1
Sittard
Kohlert (59')
Wellenreuther (55'), Grim (69')
Noslin (54')
Angha (45'), Seuntjens (75')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Willem II
2-1
Sittard
Pavlidis (45'), Holmen (67')
Llonch (39'), Pavlidis (57')
Flemming (48')
Flemming (45+2')
Dec 5, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
Sittard
3-2
Willem II
Semedo (9'), Polter (29' pen.), Flemming (44')
Rota (33')
Pavlidis (66'), Van der Heijden (87')
Heerkens (63'), Llonch (75')
Llonch (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax31235363273674
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles3013895246647
8Heerenveen31117133953-1440
9Fortuna SittardSittard30106143449-1536
10Sparta RotterdamSparta30811113437-335
11Groningen3098133245-1335
12Heracles30811113752-1535
13NECNijmegen3096154244-233
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II3066183050-2024
17Almere CityAlmere City3148192159-3820
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719


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