MX23RW : Friday, May 30 03:12:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
OH Leuven

Charleroi
2 - 1
Leuven

Keita (29'), Stanic (88')
Stulic (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Titraoui (43' og.)
Vlietinck (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Leuven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mechelen 1-1 Charleroi
Sunday, May 18 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leuven 0-2 Westerlo
Friday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Charleroi 2-1 Leuven

Although Charleroi have struggled against Leuven in recent years and could rest some players this weekend, they will be keen to keep spirits high heading into their playoff final and we are backing De Mil's men to come out on top on home soil against their out-of-sorts counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Charleroi in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Charleroi.

Result
CharleroiDrawLeuven
57.29% (0.325 0.33) 23.13% (-0.123 -0.12) 19.58% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.65% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.242 0.24)48.82% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (0.22 0.22)70.92% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (0.202 0.2)16.8% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (0.35899999999999 0.36)46.76% (-0.357 -0.36)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.87% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)39.13% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)75.85% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Charleroi 57.28%
    Leuven 19.58%
    Draw 23.13%
CharleroiDrawLeuven
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 57.28%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.58%

How you voted: Charleroi vs Leuven

Charleroi
100%
Draw
0.0%
Leuven
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Leuven
0-0
Charleroi
Ikwuemesi (41'), Mijatovic (46'), Gil (70')
Mijatovic (58')
Heymans (9'), Zorgane (63')
Dec 14, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 18
Leuven
1-0
Charleroi
N'dri (61')
Ikwuemesi (63'), Ricca (90+8')

Guiagon (31'), Andreou (46')
Andreou (79'), Dabbagh (90+8')
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Charleroi
0-2
Leuven
Ikwuemesi (32', 45+2')
Banzuzi (33'), Gil (57'), Gil (75')
Feb 17, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 26
Leuven
0-0
Charleroi
Maertens (14'), Maziz (48')
Heymans (13'), Petris (25'), Camara (39'), Koffi (90+6')
Camara (45+3')
Jul 29, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Charleroi
1-1
Leuven
Dabbagh (9')
Mbenza (39'), Ilaimaharitra (52'), Heymans (79')
Stulic (17')
Opoku (84' pen.)
Maertens (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Relegation Round
1Union SGUnion SG402411571284342
2Club BruggeBrugge402410686424438
3Genk40256969442530
4Anderlecht401871562402223
5Royal AntwerpAntwerp401413135750721
6GentGent401212164565-2015
Relegation Round
1Sint-Truiden361011155066-1641
2Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge36912153957-1839
3KortrijkKortrijk36107194063-2337
4Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA3659223670-3424
Conference League Play-off Group
1CharleroiCharleroi401610145546940
2Westerlo401312156965433
3MechelenMechelen401214146257531
4Dender401112175372-1929
5Leuven40918133952-1327
6Standard Liege401016142743-1627
 
Regular Season
1Genk30215455332268
2Club BruggeBrugge30178565362959
3Union SGUnion SG301510549252455
4Anderlecht30156950272351
5Royal AntwerpAntwerp301210847321546
6GentGent30111274133845
7Standard Liege30109112235-1339
8MechelenMechelen30108124540538
9Westerlo30107135049137
10CharleroiCharleroi30107133636037
11Leuven3081392833-537
12Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge30711122944-1532
13Dender3088143351-1832
14Sint-Truiden30710134156-1531
15KortrijkKortrijk3075182855-2726
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA3039182660-3418


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