MX23RW : Saturday, May 24 18:17:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 at 6.15pm UK
Van Roystadion
OH Leuven

Dender
5 - 0
Leuven

Hrncar (6'), Goncalves (18'), Nsimba (22'), Rodes (28'), Berte (90')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Verstraete (45+3'), Osifo (87')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Dender and Leuven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Westerlo 4-2 Dender
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leuven 1-2 Mechelen
Saturday, May 3 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dender win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dender win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dender would win this match.

Result
DenderDrawLeuven
38.93% (0.23 0.23) 27.22% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 33.85% (-0.287 -0.29)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.215 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58% (-0.247 -0.25)55.42% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (-0.202 -0.2)76.61% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Dender Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.012 0.01)27.73% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.29% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (-0.312 -0.31)30.82% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9% (-0.366 -0.37)67.09% (0.35900000000001 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Dender 38.92%
    Leuven 33.85%
    Draw 27.21%
DenderDrawLeuven
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.92%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 10.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.85%

How you voted: Dender vs Leuven

Dender
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Leuven
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 4
Leuven
4-4
Dender
Ikwuemesi (22', 82'), Balikwisha (33'), Schrijvers (39')
Osifo (79')
Berte (3'), Hrncar (57'), Scheidler (74', 90+2')
Kvet (80')
Feb 15, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 26
Leuven
3-2
Dender
Kurucay (30'), Schrijvers (89' pen.), Mijatovic (90+2')
Zeefuik (90'), Schrijvers (90+8')
Berte (9'), Hrncar (39')
Pupe (48'), Goncalves (90+7')
Nov 9, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 14
Dender
1-1
Leuven
Rodes (44')
van Oudenhove (15'), Goncalves (45'), Berte (80'), Kvet (88'), Nsimba (90'), Hrncar (90+3')
Maziz (22')
Kurucay (9'), Verstraete (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Relegation Round
1Union SGUnion SG392311568274139
2Club BruggeBrugge39249685414437
3Genk39246967432427
4Anderlecht391871461382323
5Royal AntwerpAntwerp391412135649720
6GentGent391212154462-1815
Relegation Round
1Sint-Truiden361011155066-1641
2Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge36912153957-1839
3KortrijkKortrijk36107194063-2337
4Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA3659223670-3424
Conference League Play-off Group
1CharleroiCharleroi391510145345837
2Westerlo391311156965432
3MechelenMechelen391213146055530
4Dender391111175170-1928
5Leuven39918123850-1227
6Standard Liege391015142743-1626
 
Regular Season
1Genk30215455332268
2Club BruggeBrugge30178565362959
3Union SGUnion SG301510549252455
4Anderlecht30156950272351
5Royal AntwerpAntwerp301210847321546
6GentGent30111274133845
7Standard Liege30109112235-1339
8MechelenMechelen30108124540538
9Westerlo30107135049137
10CharleroiCharleroi30107133636037
11Leuven3081392833-537
12Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge30711122944-1532
13Dender3088143351-1832
14Sint-Truiden30710134156-1531
15KortrijkKortrijk3075182855-2726
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA3039182660-3418


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!