Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Leganes win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Real Valladolid |
36.37% (![]() | 24.84% (![]() | 38.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.03% (![]() | 44.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% (![]() | 67.32% (![]() |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% (![]() | 24.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.33% (![]() | 58.67% (![]() |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% (![]() | 23.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.17% (![]() | 56.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Real Valladolid |
2-1 @ 8.22% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.37% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.54% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |