/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsevlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleglog.png)
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Leganes | 
| 45.09% (  -0.37) | 27.36% (  -0.01) | 27.54% (  0.38) | 
| Both teams to score 46.99% (  0.27) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 41.99% (  0.22) | 58% (  -0.22) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.31% (  0.17) | 78.69% (  -0.17) | 
| Sevilla Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.36% (  -0.09) | 25.64% (  0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.46% (  -0.12) | 60.54% (  0.12) | 
| Leganes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.2% (  0.43) | 36.8% (  -0.43) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.41% (  0.43) | 73.59% (  -0.43) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sevilla | Draw | Leganes | 
| 1-0 @ 12.84% (  -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.74% (  -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.74% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.97% (  -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.96% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.35% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.35% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.09% | 1-1 @ 12.83% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 9.44% (  -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.37% (  0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 9.43% (  0.03) 1-2 @ 6.42% (  0.08) 0-2 @ 4.72% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 2.14% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 1.57% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 1.46% (  0.03) Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.55% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
