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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 24, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Sevilla logo

Osasuna
1 - 0
Sevilla

Garcia (25')
Catena (33'), Ibanez (45+2'), Zaragoza (78'), Areso (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Angel Carmona (64'), Sanchez (87')
Lukebakio (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valladolid 2-3 Osasuna
Sunday, April 20 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, April 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Sevilla

Osasuna have been the draw specialists in La Liga this season, and even though they do enter the game on the back of two consecutive victories, they both came against out-of-form opponents scrapping at the bottom. Sevilla are not too far away from that fight against relegation, but there are no immediate fears of them facing the drop, and after arresting their losing run at the weekend, they could take another point in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
OsasunaDrawSevilla
33.95% (-0.244 -0.24) 27.39% (-0.181 -0.18) 38.66% (0.421 0.42)
Both teams to score 49.48% (0.51 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (0.657 0.66)56.08% (-0.661 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (0.53 0.53)77.16% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.17100000000001 0.17)31.09% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.198 0.2)67.41% (-0.202 -0.2)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (0.562 0.56)28.2% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (0.704 0.7)63.89% (-0.708 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 33.95%
    Sevilla 38.65%
    Draw 27.39%
OsasunaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 11.09% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.091 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.65%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Sevilla

Osasuna
60.3%
Draw
27.9%
Sevilla
11.8%
68
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 15
Sevilla
1-1
Osasuna
Lukebakio (73')
Sow (50')
Budimir (70')
Catena (81')
Jan 28, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sevilla
1-1
Osasuna
Romero (24')
Agoume (6'), Soumare (56'), Ramos (84')
Suso (86')
Budimir (55')
Sep 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 6
Osasuna
0-0
Sevilla
Budimir (68'), Torro (74')
Salas (57'), Rakitic (64'), Pedrosa (81')
Feb 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 23
Sevilla
2-3
Osasuna
Gudelj (63'), En-Nesyri (78')
Garcia (18'), Fernando (67' og.), Ezzalzouli (85')
Jan 25, 2023 9pm
Quarter-Finals
Osasuna
2-1
Sevilla
Avila (71'), Ezzalzouli (99')
En-Nesyri (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716


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