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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Athletic Bilbao logo

Sevilla
0 - 1
Athletic Bilbao


Nyland (10'), Sow (19'), Niguez (23'), Agoume (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarez (84')
Berenguer (59'), Nunez (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Sevilla
Sunday, March 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Roma
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
29.84% (-0.13 -0.13)27.86% (0.067 0.07)42.29% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.84% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.19% (-0.278 -0.28)58.81% (0.28 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68% (-0.216 -0.22)79.32% (0.217 0.22)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58% (-0.247 -0.25)35.42% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82% (-0.258 -0.26)72.18% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)27.47% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.126 -0.13)62.96% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 29.84%
    Athletic Bilbao 42.29%
    Draw 27.85%
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 29.84%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.73% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 12.57% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.12% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.29%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla
39.1%
Draw
37.7%
Athletic Bilbao
23.2%
69
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Sevilla
Padilla Perez (90+3' og.)
Angel Carmona (55'), Pedrosa (90+7'), Kouassi (90+7')
May 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 37
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Sevilla
Garcia (17'), Muniain (19')
Ruiz de Galarreta (37')

Salas (45+2')
Jan 4, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 19
Sevilla
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Sow (36'), Rakitic (75'), Marcao (86')
Vesga (30'), Paredes (76')
Garcia (90+2')
Apr 27, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 31
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla
Ocampos (90+2' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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