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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 23, 2025 at 1pm UK
San Mames Barria
Real Valladolid logo

Athletic Bilbao
7 - 1
Valladolid

Jauregizar (10'), Williams (35', 66'), Sannadi Harrouch (43'), Sancet (45+2'), Guruzeta (69'), Williams (87')
Vivian (79'), Ruiz de Galarreta (84')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Sylla (47')
Martin Rielves (44'), Juric (46')
Juric (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valladolid 0-4 Sevilla
Sunday, February 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.39%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
70.3% (0.30200000000001 0.3)18.95% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)10.75% (-0.262 -0.26)
Both teams to score 42.48% (-0.743 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-0.508 -0.51)48.38% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-0.465 -0.47)70.52% (0.464 0.46)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)12.55% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.4% (-0.133 -0.13)38.6% (0.132 0.13)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.58% (-0.814 -0.81)51.42% (0.813 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.38% (-0.546 -0.55)85.62% (0.54600000000001 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 70.28%
    Real Valladolid 10.75%
    Draw 18.95%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
2-0 @ 13.89% (0.22 0.22)
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 9.62% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.99% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.07% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 70.28%
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 18.95%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.96% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid

Athletic Bilbao
97.1%
Draw
2.9%
Real Valladolid
0.0%
34
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Valladolid
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Moro (79')
Anuar (19'), Pezzolano (45+4'), Torres (72'), Martin Rielves (78'), Comert (90')
Guruzeta (90+4')
Jauregizar (26'), Prados (43'), Vesga (66'), Marton (90')
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Valladolid
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Larin (74')
Martinez (30'), Guruzeta (57'), Vesga (78' pen.)
Nov 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Athletic Bilbao
3-0
Valladolid
Guruzeta (18', 51'), Vivian (78')
Apr 28, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 33
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Valladolid
Morcillo (14'), Garcia (76')
Sancet (61')
Orellana (70'), Weissman (85')
El Yamiq (90+1')
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Valladolid
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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