La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 19, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Alvarez (74')
Moriba (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Berenguer (62'), Vivian (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Osasuna
Thursday, January 16 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
28.3% ( 0.12)	28.82% ( 0.05)	42.88% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 43.54% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.42% (

-0.13)

62.58% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.84% (

-0.1)

82.16% (

0.09)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.29% (

0.03)

38.71% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.55% (

0.03)

75.44% (

-0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

-0.16)

28.95% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

-0.2)

64.84% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 28.29%

Athletic Bilbao 42.88%

Draw 28.8%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 28.29%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.8%	0-1 @ 13.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 42.88%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao

Celta Vigo

22.6%

Draw

17.9%

Athletic Bilbao

59.5%

Head to Head

Sep 22, 2024 3.15pm

Gameweek 6

Athletic Bilbao

3-1

Celta Vigo

Guruzeta (4', 39'), Djalo (80')
Berenguer (20'), Paredes (30'), Prados (52')

Aspas (25' pen.)
Sotelo (50'), Moriba (86')

> Preview

May 15, 2024 9pm

Gameweek 36

Celta Vigo

2-1

Athletic Bilbao

Swedberg (68'), Alvarez (71')
Starfelt (80'), Cervi (90+5')

Berenguer (23')

> Preview

Nov 10, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 13

Athletic Bilbao

4-3

Celta Vigo

Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')

Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')

> Preview

May 20, 2023 3.15pm

Gameweek 35

Athletic Bilbao

2-1

Celta Vigo

Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')

Strand Larsen (50')
de la Torre (65')

> Preview

Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 19

Celta Vigo

1-0

Athletic Bilbao

Aspas (71')

> Preview

Form Guide

Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo

Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Celta Vigo

Racing 2-3 Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Sociedad

Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo 2-0 Mallorca

Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Barcelona

UD Logrones 0-0 Athletic Bilbao (3-4 pen.)

Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Alaves 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Fenerbahce 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102	39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78	38	40	84
3	Atletico Madrid Atletico	38	22	10	6	68	30	38	76
4	Athletic Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54	29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71	51	20	70
6	Real Betis Betis	38	16	12	10	57	50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59	57	2	55
8	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4	52
9	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9	48
11	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10	46
12	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5	42
14	Alaves Alaves	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10	42
15	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11	42
16	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13	41
17	Girona Girona	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17	40
R	Las Palmas Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21	32
R	Real Valladolid Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64	16
					> La Liga Full Table