La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Nteka (14')
Ciss (69'), Gumbau (76'), Garcia (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sancet (65', 78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, November 24 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Elfsborg
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
32.49% ( 0.4)	28.24% ( -0.04)	39.27% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 46.67% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.54% (

0.21)

59.45% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.18% (

0.16)

79.82% (

-0.16)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.18% (

0.39)

33.82% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

0.42)

70.49% (

-0.42)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

-0.11)

29.48% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

-0.13)

65.48% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 32.48%

Athletic Bilbao 39.26%

Draw 28.24%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.48%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.24%	0-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.57% Total : 39.26%