Potential new EL header

Europa League

Ludogorets
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Athletic Bilbao logo

Ludogorets
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcus (20')
Rick (30'), Rusev (77'), Seco (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (73'), Serrano (74')
Berchiche (23'), Vivian (48'), Vesga (72'), Serrano (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 Ludogorets
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Betis
Sunday, November 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawAthletic Bilbao
48.43% (12.662 12.66)25.08% (-1.397 -1.4)26.49% (-11.263 -11.26)
Both teams to score 52.95% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11% (2.334 2.33)49.88% (-2.334 -2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12% (2.045 2.05)71.88% (-2.045 -2.05)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (7.423 7.42)20.62% (-7.423 -7.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82% (10.52 10.52)53.18% (-10.52 -10.52)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (-6.409 -6.41)33.29% (6.408 6.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09% (-7.708 -7.71)69.9% (7.71 7.71)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 48.42%
    Athletic Bilbao 26.49%
    Draw 25.08%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.83% (1.246 1.25)
2-1 @ 9.41% (1.407 1.41)
2-0 @ 8.56% (2.464 2.46)
3-1 @ 4.95% (1.561 1.56)
3-0 @ 4.5% (1.921 1.92)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.496 0.5)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.877 0.88)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.956 0.96)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.367 0.37)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 48.42%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.67 -0.67)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.674 -0.67)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-2.353 -2.35)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-1.714 -1.71)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-2.353 -2.35)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-1.218 -1.22)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.405 -0.41)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-1.326 -1.33)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Athletic Bilbao

Ludogorets Razgrad
22.2%
Draw
13.2%
Athletic Bilbao
64.6%
144