

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 35.29%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao | 
| 35.09% (  0.14) | 29.62% (  0.18) | 35.29% (  -0.32) | 
| Both teams to score 43.16% (  -0.5) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 36.11% (  -0.6) | 63.89% (  0.61) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 16.89% (  -0.43) | 83.11% (  0.44) | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.63% (  -0.22) | 34.37% (  0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.92% (  -0.24) | 71.08% (  0.25) | 
| Athletic Bilbao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.76% (  -0.53) | 34.24% (  0.54) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.06% (  -0.58) | 70.94% (  0.58) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao | 
| 1-0 @ 12.56% (  0.2) 2-1 @ 7.19% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.71% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 2.56% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.39% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 1.37% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.08% | 1-1 @ 13.47% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 11.76% (  0.26) 2-2 @ 3.86% (  -0.08) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.61% | 0-1 @ 12.61% (  0.1) 1-2 @ 7.22% (  -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.76% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.58% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.42% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.38% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.28% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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