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Europa League

Roma logo
Europa League | League Stage
Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Athletic Bilbao logo

Roma
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Dovbyk (32')
Kone (44'), Baldanzi (63'), de Marcos (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Paredes (85')
Gorosabel (44'), Berchiche (56'), Williams (90+5'), Williams (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, September 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawAthletic Bilbao
43.54% (0.783 0.78)25.37% (-0.252 -0.25)31.08% (-0.531 -0.53)
Both teams to score 54.99% (0.602 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.4% (0.884 0.88)48.6% (-0.883 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (0.798 0.8)70.72% (-0.798 -0.8)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (0.75500000000001 0.76)22.27% (-0.754 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28% (1.12 1.12)55.71% (-1.119 -1.12)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75% (0.087999999999994 0.09)29.25% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (0.106 0.11)65.2% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Roma 43.54%
    Athletic Bilbao 31.08%
    Draw 25.37%
RomaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.099 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.149 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.01% (-0.275 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Roma vs Athletic Bilbao

Roma
40.7%
Draw
34.2%
Athletic Bilbao
25.1%
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