La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 28, 2024 at 6pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Valencia

Prados (45')
Prados (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mir (23'), Mosquera (26'), Foulquier (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 24 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valencia
Friday, August 23 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Valencia
57.48% ( 1.07)	24.63% ( -0.07)	17.88% ( -1)

Both teams to score 43.61% (

-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26% (

-1.02)

56.74% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31% (

-0.82)

77.69% (

0.83)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

0.02)

19.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36% (

0.03)

51.65% (

-0.03)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.28% (

-1.81)

45.72% (

1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.49% (

-1.45)

81.51% (

1.45)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 57.48%

Valencia 17.88%

Draw 24.63%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.53% Total : 57.48%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.5% Total : 17.88%