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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Udinese logo

Roma
3 - 0
Udinese

Dovbyk (19'), Dybala (49' pen.), Baldanzi (70')
Pisilli (31'), Cristante (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lucca (3'), Kristensen (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Roma
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30am in Serie A

Udinese

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Udinese
Monday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawUdinese
51.71% (0.109 0.11)25.09% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.19% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36% (-0.229 -0.23)52.63% (0.229 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.72% (-0.197 -0.2)74.28% (0.197 0.2)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)20.35% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)52.75% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (-0.257 -0.26)37.65% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57% (-0.25 -0.25)74.43% (0.25 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Roma 51.71%
    Udinese 23.19%
    Draw 25.09%
RomaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.66% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 23.19%

How you voted: Roma vs Udinese

Roma
62.9%
Draw
16.4%
Udinese
20.7%
116
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 32
Udinese
1-2
Roma
Pereyra (23')
Kamara (31'), Bijol (58'), Payero (66')
Lukaku (64'), Cristante (90+5')
Baldanzi (69'), Karsdorp (90+3'), Karsdorp (90+14')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Roma
3-1
Udinese
Mancini (20'), Dybala (81'), El Shaarawy (90')
Pellegrini (33')
Thauvin (57')
Ferreira (19'), Samardzic (26'), Success (27')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Roma
3-0
Udinese
Bove (37'), Pellegrini (55'), Abraham (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Udinese
4-0
Roma
Udogie (5'), Samardzic (56'), Pereyra (75'), Lovric (82')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 29
Udinese
1-1
Roma
Molina (15')
Deulofeu (26'), Makengo (86'), Becao (90+2')
Pellegrini (90+4' pen.)
Afena-Gyan (70'), Ibanez (88')
> Preview