Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.