Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.65%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.