Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 3
Udinese

Del Prato (2'), Bonny (43')
Keita (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lucca (49'), Thauvin (68', 77')
Gianetti (38'), Ehizibue (84'), Davis (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Parma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Como
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Udinese
40.22% ( 4.91)	27.29% ( 1.43)	32.49% ( -6.34)

Both teams to score 49.45% (

-5.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.03% (

-6.3)

55.97% (

6.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.94% (

-5.38)

77.07% (

5.39)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

-0.16)

27.26% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.31% (

-0.22)

62.7% (

0.22)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

-6.91)

32.02% (

6.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52% (

-8.67)

68.49% (

8.68)

Score Analysis

Parma 40.22%

Udinese 32.49%

Draw 27.29%

Parma	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 2.46) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 1.57) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.67) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.21) Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.22%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.65) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 1.93) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.76) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -1.13) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.84) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -1.11) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.84) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.74) Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.49%