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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Parma logo

Napoli
2 - 1
Parma

Lukaku (90+2'), Zambo Anguissa (90+6')
Zambo Anguissa (43'), Lobotka (58'), Conte (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonny (19' pen.)
Mihaila (61'), Suzuki (63'), Del Prato (88')
Suzuki (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawParma
61% (2.503 2.5)21.08% (-1.104 -1.1)17.91% (-1.4 -1.4)
Both teams to score 54.3% (1.097 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (2.718 2.72)42.47% (-2.721 -2.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.12% (2.659 2.66)64.88% (-2.661 -2.66)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55% (1.676 1.68)13.45% (-1.677 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.56% (3.261 3.26)40.44% (-3.263 -3.26)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (0.054000000000002 0.05)37.27% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (0.055 0.05)74.05% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.99%
    Parma 17.91%
    Draw 21.08%
NapoliDrawParma
2-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.61 -0.61)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.75% (0.406 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.41 0.41)
4-0 @ 3.38% (0.389 0.39)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.389 0.39)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.207 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.194 0.19)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.227 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 60.99%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.583 -0.58)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.633 -0.63)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.617 -0.62)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.91%

How you voted: Napoli vs Parma

Napoli
70.8%
Draw
21.7%
Parma
7.5%
106
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 20
Napoli
2-0
Parma
Elmas (32'), Politano (82')
Demme (71'), Elmas (75')

Gagliolo (5'), Pezzella (31'), Conti (71'), Brugman (76')
Sep 20, 2020 11.30am
Gameweek 1
Parma
0-2
Napoli

Darmian (36'), Alves (59'), Pezzella (73'), Kucka (75')
Mertens (63'), Insigne (77')
Demme (35')
Jul 22, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 35
Parma
2-1
Napoli
Caprari (45+3' pen.), Kulusevski (87' pen.)
Grassi (53'), Brugman (90+2'), Iacoponi (90+3')
Insigne (54' pen.)
Lozano (35')
Dec 14, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
1-2
Parma
Milik (64')
Mertens (79'), Milik (81')
Kulusevski (4'), Gervinho (93')
Gervinho (9'), Gagliolo (63')
Feb 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 25
Parma
0-4
Napoli

Rigoni (28'), Gagliolo (85')
Zielinski (19'), Milik (36', 73'), Ounas (82')
Milik (38')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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