Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Fiorentina | 
| 27.69% (  -1.62) | 23.76% (  -0.06) | 48.55% (  1.69) | 
| Both teams to score 58.26% (  -0.98) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.66% (  -0.76) | 43.34% (  0.76) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.26% (  -0.75) | 65.74% (  0.75) | 
| Parma Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.05% (  -1.52) | 28.95% (  1.52) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.16% (  -1.93) | 64.84% (  1.93) | 
| Fiorentina Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82% (  0.37) | 18% (  -0.37) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.14% (  0.63) | 48.86% (  -0.63) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Parma | Draw | Fiorentina | 
| 2-1 @ 6.87% (  -0.28) 1-0 @ 6.46% (  -0.06) 2-0 @ 4% (  -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.84% (  -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.43% (  -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.65% (  -0.16) Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.69% | 1-1 @ 11.07% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% (  -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.21% (  0.17) 3-3 @ 1.39% (  -0.08) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 9.5% (  0.14) 0-1 @ 8.94% (  0.4) 0-2 @ 7.66% (  0.43) 1-3 @ 5.43% (  0.14) 0-3 @ 4.38% (  0.29) 2-3 @ 3.37% (  -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.33% (  0.09) 0-4 @ 1.88% (  0.15) 2-4 @ 1.44% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 48.55% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 | 
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 | 
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 | 
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 | 
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 | 
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 | 
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | 
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 | 
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 | 
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 | 
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 | 
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 | 
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
