

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina | 
| 22.93% (  -1.14) | 26.43% (  0.42) | 50.64% (  0.72) | 
| Both teams to score 45.62% (  -2.32) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.22% (  -2.43) | 57.78% (  2.43) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.48% (  -1.95) | 78.52% (  1.95) | 
| Hellas Verona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.19% (  -2.45) | 40.81% (  2.45) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.61% (  -2.27) | 77.38% (  2.27) | 
| Fiorentina Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.07% (  -0.71) | 22.93% (  0.71) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.3% (  -1.05) | 56.7% (  1.05) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina | 
| 1-0 @ 8.39% (  0.22) 2-1 @ 5.54% (  -0.35) 2-0 @ 3.76% (  -0.16) 3-1 @ 1.65% (  -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.22% (  -0.2) 3-0 @ 1.12% (  -0.13) Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.93% | 1-1 @ 12.35% (  0.07) 0-0 @ 9.36% (  0.83) 2-2 @ 4.08% (  -0.35) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 13.78% (  0.96) 0-2 @ 10.14% (  0.5) 1-2 @ 9.1% (  -0.14) 0-3 @ 4.98% (  0.15) 1-3 @ 4.47% (  -0.17) 2-3 @ 2% (  -0.22) 0-4 @ 1.83% (  0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% (  -0.1) Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.63% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 | 
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 | 
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 | 
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 | 
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 | 
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 | 
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 | 
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 | 
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 | 
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 | 
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 | 
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 | 
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 | 
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
