We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 Fiorentina
While home advantage could prove key for Hellas Verona, we cannot ignore the firepower of Fiorentina. With that in mind, a hard-fought victory for the away side appears to be the most likely result, one which will keep them in the mix for the Champions League.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
