Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 53.97% | 23.55% | 22.48% |
| Both teams to score 53.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% | 47.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% | 69.3% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% | 17.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.27% | 47.73% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% | 35.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.03% | 71.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.37% 3-1 @ 5.71% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.74% Total : 53.97% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.99% Total : 22.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 15 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 47 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Lazio | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Roma | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 41 |
| 7 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Juventus | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 32 |
| 9 | Torino | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Udinese | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 31 |
| 11 | Monza | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Empoli | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 11 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 23 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 9 |
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