Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 42.94% ( | 24.17% ( | 32.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( | 42.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( | 64.94% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( | 20% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.81% ( | 52.18% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( | 25.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.15% ( | 59.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
| 2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
| 3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
| 5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
| 8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
| 18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
| 23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
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