Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Romania
2 - 1
Belarus

Stanciu (17'), Burca (19')
Stanciu (62'), Popescu (74'), Cicaldau (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Morozov (86')
Malkevich (49'), Ebong (55'), Khadarkevich (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Romania and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Andorra 0-2 Romania
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	1	5	3
2	Romania	1	2	3
3	Israel	1	0	1
4	Kosovo	1	0	1
5	Andorra	1	-2	0
6	Belarus	1	-5	0

Belarus

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Belarus 0-5 Switzerland
Saturday, March 25 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	1	5	3
2	Romania	1	2	3
3	Israel	1	0	1
4	Kosovo	1	0	1
5	Andorra	1	-2	0
6	Belarus	1	-5	0

While Belarus should be safe from succumbing to another thrashing, Romania will sense an excellent opportunity to lay down a marker for an automatic qualifying spot in Group I, and we are struggling beyond to see another routine victory for them after dispatching Andorra in their opening match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
Romania	Draw	Belarus
62.93% ( -0.09)	22.81% ( 0.23)	14.26% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 41.37% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.32% (

-1.04)

55.68% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17% (

-0.86)

76.83% (

0.86)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74% (

-0.4)

17.26% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.42% (

-0.71)

47.58% (

0.71)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50% (

-0.84)

50% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.34% (

-0.58)

84.66% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Romania 62.92%

Belarus 14.26%

Draw 22.8%

Romania	Draw	Belarus
1-0 @ 15.16% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.14% Total : 62.92%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.8%	0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 14.26%