Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Andorra
0 - 2
Romania

Llovera (12'), Rebes (59')
Rebes (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Man (34'), Alibec (49')
Marin (23'), Popescu (78'), Dragusin (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Andorra and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

All competitions

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Romania

All competitions

Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Romania
Sunday, November 20 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

There were plenty of positive signs for Andorra in 2022, but those positive signs should not translate into a shock win against a side sitting over 100 places higher than them in the standings. Romania are a far cry from the force they once were and cannot expect to find the back of the net at will, but the visitors should still encounter few roadblocks en route to an opening triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Romania in this match.

Result
Andorra	Draw	Romania
12.18% ( -0.07)	18.64% ( -0.04)	69.18% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 48.13% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.65% (

43.35% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.25% (

65.75% (

0.01)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.33% (

-0.11)

45.67% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.54% (

-0.09)

81.47% (

0.09)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.59% (

0.03)

11.41% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.82% (

0.06)

36.18% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Andorra 12.19%

Romania 69.17%

Draw 18.64%

Andorra	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.19%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.64%	0-2 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.96% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.64% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 69.17%