Both nations rarely head into games that they have a genuine chance of winning, but Saturday's clash is one that they can head into with optimism as they bid to finish the year with a positive result.
Nevertheless, there is little to separate these two sides and a low-scoring draw could be on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gibraltar would win this match.
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